Home Buying Tips: Flipping will always work!

For years, hot-shot speculators made huge profits flipping condos in Florida and Vegas before they were even constructed. When Fed chairman Alan Greenspan said that national real estate market was "frothy," the writing was really on the wall, and anyone with half a brain could see that we were in for a "cooling" of the housing market, at best. And yet still, speculators continued to profit, and the real estate bull market marched on.

Greenspan handed his matador's cape to the new Fed chairman, Ben Bernanke, who continued the policy of interest rate hikes designed to deflate housing. No longer accelerating at a break-neck pace, home prices have flattened like a pancake in many markets, and new the condo speculators who got in late are in for a world of hurt.

Flipping vs. Speculating

It should be made clear that there is a difference between flipping and speculating. While speculators may be a sub-set of flippers, they are, at best, the amateurs of the real estate investing family. Flippers who have consistent success are more conservative and have a fundamental approach to real estate investing. While it may not be as exciting as speculating, the rewards of more conservative flipping are nearly as generous, and they are paired with far less risk.

The biggest difference between flipping and speculating is that flipping works in any market, whereas speculating only works in certain places at certain times. Las Vegas from 2002 to 2004 was a great time and place to be a speculator. Basically, speculating often works on the "greater fool" thought process that you can always find a greater fool than yourself to take a property off your hands in the expectation that he will be able to find yet a greater fool.

Flipping, by contrast, relies on fundamentals. The plan is to find undervalued properties, rehab them, present them in an attractive manner, and sell them for a reasonable profit. Not only is a rising market not a requirement of flipping success, it may even be a mild detriment! After all, it is a bit harder to find bargain properties in booming areas. Sure, it can still be done, but the point is that even falling markets are prime for flipping since the holding period is often too short for the value of the property to decline beyond the deep discount at which it is purchased. Assuming that you add value through rehabbing, you almost can't lose!